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Portfolio — 2026Bulawayo, Zimbabwe

Knowledge Mhodi

Research

000Founder · Researcher · Systems builder
KM

Research — 3 preprints

I study the systems I build and publish what I find, with the data in the open. Independent researcher, ORCID 0009-0006-4169-0783.
01Preprint·2026·Figshare

Assembling Continental Competition Without Co-Location: An Empirical Study of Cross-Border Participation in the Africa Chess League

Contribution

Tests, with production data, whether an online league really assembles cross-border competition — and shows that reach and depth of participation have to be designed for separately.

Abstract

Online platforms are often assumed to relax the travel constraint on organised chess, but the assumption is rarely tested against production data from a platform built to act on it. This single-case observational census of AFCL’s first 28 days — 612 arena entries, 300 registered members across 16 countries and 6,744 player-game appearances, benchmarked against FIDE’s 9,640 African standard-rated players — separates assembling cross-border competition, which proved achievable, from distributing participation broadly and deeply, which did not follow automatically.

  • cross-border participation
  • digital sport platforms
  • participation inequality
  • Africa

Key findings

Countries competed in the league’s first 28 days
14
Countries per arena, from the first arena to the twelfth
4 → 11
Of all game appearances came from the most active 10% of players
>50%
Of registered players never entered an arena
⅓

Entrants per AFCL arena

Arenas 1–12, 22 August–13 September 2026 — the paper’s study window. Source: data.afcl.africa.

A190A12
02Preprint·2026·Figshare

Africa Chess League: Design, Architecture, and Deployment of a Digital Chess Competition Ecosystem for Africa

Contribution

Documents a reusable pattern: let an established platform run the games, and keep the competition itself — scoring, standings, ladders — in your own system, checked against the source.

Abstract

AFCL is designed as an integrated digital ecosystem rather than a standalone tournament application: several competitive activities, information services, a shared identity layer and a unified backend operate around one competition-management model. Lichess provides the chess-execution layer — identity, gameplay, tournament hosting and fair play — while AFCL independently manages competition structures, scoring rules, derived standings, ladders and public reporting. The paper documents the engineering decisions and system boundaries that make that composition possible.

  • systems architecture
  • Lichess integration
  • derived competition state
  • sports technology

Key findings

Of closed-beta testing before the public launch
4 mo
Two-month test seasons run in the beta
2
Selected users in the closed beta
20
Public launch, after the beta
Aug 2026
03Preprint·2026(Working paper, February 2025)·Figshare

From Agricultural Support to Climate Resilience: A Data-Driven Framework for Agricultural Investment in Zimbabwe

Contribution

A framework that matches the kind of climate risk each province faces to the kind of investment that addresses it — and the evidence needed before choosing one.

Abstract

Combining FAOSTAT crop statistics (2000–2023), ERA5 reanalysis climate data and provincial Agricultural Stress Index records from FAO GIEWS/ASIS, the study decomposes production into area and yield, examines rainfall–crop relationships and maps provincial drought exposure. Zimbabwe’s agricultural climate challenge turns out to be substantial rainfall variability rather than a significant decline — and the paper proposes a differentiated investment framework that links exposure, the mechanism of instability and the evidence required before choosing interventions.

  • Zimbabwe
  • climate resilience
  • agricultural investment
  • rainfall variability
  • crop yield

doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.33985987.v1

Key findings

No significant trend in seasonal rainfall, 2000–2023 (+0.18 mm a year)
p = 0.96
Of maize production swings came from yield, not planted area
100%
Of irrigated wheat production swings came from harvested area
89%
Of seasons drought-stressed: Matabeleland South vs Mashonaland East
28% vs 0%

Seasons with agricultural drought stress

Share of seasons with ASI ≥ 10%, by province. Source: FAO GIEWS/ASIS, analysed in the paper.

28%Mat. SouthMash. East

Figures from the paper

Provincial drought risk chart
Provincial drought exposure
Variance decomposition of crop production
Area vs yield: what drives the swings
Seasonal rainfall anomaly over time
Seasonal rainfall anomaly, 2000–2023
Vulnerability space of provinces
Vulnerability space
Maize production index
Maize production index

Collaborate

Working on sport, agriculture or household economics in Africa? I’m open to research collaborations.